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Is Zscaler Stock a Buy?

Is Zscaler Stock a Buy? Analyzing Growth Potential and Market Trends for 2025

 

Zscaler Stock

As the digital landscape continues to evolve, the demand for robust cybersecurity solutions has never been greater. Zscaler, a leader in cloud security, is positioning itself for significant growth as businesses increasingly shift their operations online. With a focus on seamless user experiences and unparalleled security, the company stands at the forefront of a rapidly changing market. But is Zscaler stock a buy?

In this article, we’ll dive deep into the factors driving Zscaler’s growth potential and analyze emerging market trends that could shape its trajectory leading into 2025. From exploring its innovative technology to assessing competitive positioning within the cybersecurity sector, we’ll provide the insights investors need to make informed decisions. Buckle up as we navigate Zscaler’s promising landscape and uncover whether this stock aligns with your investment strategy for the future.

Zscaler (ZS) Stock Analysis 2025: Growth, Risks, and Investment Outlook

Overview of Zscaler’s Business Model

Zscaler operates as a cloud-native cybersecurity leader, offering subscription-based solutions through its Zero Trust Exchange platform. Its core products include:

Zscaler Internet Access (ZIA): Secures internet and SaaS application access.

Zscaler Private Access (ZPA): Provides secure connectivity to internal apps.

The company targets enterprises and governments, with 85% of its $1M+ ARR customers using multiple data protection modules. Its AI-driven innovations, like Risk360 and unified vulnerability management, enhance threat detection and client retention.

Historical Performance of Zscaler Stock

Zscaler’s stock has been volatile but resilient. After a 64% gain in 2024, shares dipped 4.8% YoY in early 2025 but rebounded 18% in April 2025 post-Q2 earnings. Key milestones:

2024: Revenue hit $2.42B with 23% YoY growth.

Q2 2025: Revenue rose 23% to $647.9M, beating estimates.

However, profitability remains a challenge, with a trailing P/E of -447.9x and negative net margins (-3.62%)。

Key Growth Drivers for Zscaler in 2025

AI Integration: AI-powered solutions like Risk360 and unified vulnerability management drove 40%+ growth in data protection ACV.

Zero Trust Adoption: 57% of new Q2 customers adopted Zero Trust Branch solutions.

Government Contracts: Secured 13 out of 15 U.S. cabinet-level agencies, leveraging FedRAMP-approved offerings.

Emerging Products: Workload protection and AI analytics contributed 25% of new business.

Analyzing Zscaler’s Competitive Landscape

Zscaler faces competition from:

Traditional Players: Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Fortinet (FTNT) in SASE and firewall markets.

Cloud Giants: Microsoft and Google bundling security with cloud services.

Differentiators include its cloud-native architecture, which reduces latency, and AI-driven threat analytics, enabling real-time risk mitigation. Zscaler’s revenue growth (23% in Q2) outpaces Palo Alto’s 10%.

Financial Metrics: Revenue, Profitability, and Valuation

Revenue: $2.64B–$2.65B projected for FY2025 (20-21% YoY growth)。

Profitability: Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 21.7% in Q2, but GAAP net losses persist.

Valuation: P/S ratio of 14.68x and market cap of $38.05B (May 2025)。 Analysts note the stock trades at a premium but aligns with sector averages.

Market Trends Impacting Zscaler’s Future

Cloud Migration: 70% of enterprises now prioritize cloud security, boosting demand for Zero Trust.

AI Security Demand: Generative AI tools increased malware risks, driving Zscaler’s AI analytics adoption.

Government Spending: Federal cybersecurity budgets rose 12% in 2025, favoring Zscaler’s GovCloud solutions.

Zscaler Stock:Expert Opinions and Analyst Ratings

Analysts remain cautiously optimistic:

Bullish: Needham ($240 target) highlights AI-driven growth and Fed contracts.

Neutral: Morningstar ($213 fair value) cites execution risks amid slowing billings.

Consensus: 23 “Buy” ratings, 10 “Hold”, and average price target of $226.94.

Risks and Challenges Facing Zscaler

Execution Risks: Sales team attrition and delayed billings growth (18% in Q2 vs. 25% target)。

Profitability Pressure: Negative GAAP margins (-1.58%) despite revenue growth.

Macro Headwinds: Rising interest rates and federal budget cuts could delay contracts.

Conclusion: Is Zscaler Stock a Buy for 2025?

Zscaler offers high-growth potential in AI and Zero Trust markets but carries elevated risks. Key considerations:

Buy Case: Strong product innovation, government deals, and 20%+ revenue growth justify long-term holds.

Sell Concerns: Valuation (12x EV/Sales) and profitability delays may limit near-term upside.

Final Verdict: A moderate buy for risk-tolerant investors, with a 12–18-month horizon. Hedge with stop-loss orders below $230 and monitor Q3 billings acceleration.

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